Path to a Free Iran
Explore how U.S. operations against the Islamic Republic, combined with popular uprising and Western support for the opposition, can liberate the Iranian people.
Scenario Variables
Level of coalition strikes targeting IRGC and regime infrastructure
Targeted sanctions on IRGC commanders and regime officials
Western support for Pahlavi movement and pro-democracy groups
Scale of Iranian protests and civil resistance
Liberation Scenarios:
Projected Impacts
Likelihood of successful regime change
Islamic Republic regime stability (lower = better)
IRGC military capability degradation
Iranian support for regime change
Military/security personnel defecting
Support for Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi
Educational Tool: These projections are simplified models for educational purposes. Real-world impacts involve complex interdependencies and would require sophisticated analysis.
35,000+ Martyrs
The Islamic Republic has killed over 35,000 peaceful protesters since 2022. Every day the regime survives means more innocent Iranians die. Liberation is urgent.
The Pahlavi Path
Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi offers a vision of secular democracy through peaceful referendum. 61% of Iranians support his leadership in a democratic transition.
A Free Iran Benefits All
A democratic Iran would be a natural U.S. ally, end state sponsorship of terrorism, stabilize the region, and unlock economic prosperity for 88 million Iranians.